A 70% Hit Rate Can Still Lose: Odds, Yield and ROI
A Bluesky infographic explaining why a lower hit rate can sometimes produce a higher return.
About the published post
The English post reads: “A 70% hit rate can still lose. A 48% hit rate can still win.” Its message is that win percentages should not be considered in isolation.
The graphic compares two illustrative cases: 70 wins from 100 selections at average odds of 1.25 (−12.5 units), and 48 wins from 100 at average odds of 2.30 (+10.4 units), assuming one unit per selection.
Odds at release, yield, return on investment, stake size and the sample size are essential parts of any transparent evaluation. These figures are illustrative and do not represent audited performance.
Original publication
This page archives the previously published Bluesky post and links to its original source.
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Any stated hit rates and returns are illustrative calculations, not audited historical performance. TIME CLASH is a fictional entertainment simulation, not a prediction for real matches. No guaranteed winnings. Gambling is restricted to adults (18+) and must follow applicable laws.